How Do We Pay for Tube Town?
Although much cheaper than a comparably sized surface base, outfitting a lava tube for human habitation will not be cheap. Much of the materials can be made in situ, such as aluminum sheeting for the floors, airlocks, centrifuge. Steel can be manufactured for the waste recycler, tanks, factory gantry, etc. but much will need to come from Earth such as machinery, computers, electronics, medical equipment, etc.
In Tube Town, this cost is spread among the 27 countries of
the International Space Program (NASA, ESA plus countries that signed the
Artemis Accords).
The ISP is a cost and opportunity sharing umbrella
organization for building and maintaining a large Moon base and robotic
creation of a Mars base and the first crewed mission to Mars.
NASA would be the lead partner of the ISP, but project decisions were approved and administered by the ISP Board of Directors consisting of the member countries of the organization with weighted voting rights proportionate to their contribution. Many countries wanted to get in on the ground floor of a new space economy but couldn’t afford to duplicate the resources and infrastructure that already existed at NASA. With their combined buying power, the ISP could source rockets, landers, robotics, space suits, etc. from the most efficient and innovative private suppliers. In return, ISP countries received habitation services (shelter, atmosphere, food, water) and discounted rates for:
- leasing habitation space in the
Tube for scientific or commercial enterprise,
- buying propellant and other in situ resources, and
- payload return to Earth
Construction costs of the Tube are initially off set by lunar
tourism. Tourism licenses are issued by the ISP to private companies. The
contracts include revenue sharing, ISP Code of Conduct compliance and
Space Heritage sites preservation requirements. In exchange, the licensees get
transportation, medical emergency and habitation services on the Moon.
In Tube Town, the first ISP tourism licensee is with Lunar
Experience, LLC. LE licensed 50 seats for a seven Earth day stay. They ran two
tours per Earth month to take advantage of the Nearside lunar day (in early
days, most of the popular attractions were on the Nearside). LE agreed to give
away 25% of the seats to people who could not afford the price. So, of the 50
seats per trip, 12 were free and 38 were paying customers. Assuming a ticket
price of $5m for a trip to the Moon for a week, a flight made $190m. The
revenue-sharing agreement with the ISP was 60/40 (LE 60%, ISP 40%) so for that
$190m flight, LE earned $114m and ISP $76m. If only two trips were completed
per month, the yearly income would be LE $1.3B and ISP $912m. The ticket price
would double to watch the uncrewed launches to Mars and the price would triple
to witness the crewed launch to Mars.
In addition, the ISP or commercial customers could take
advantage of very reasonable freight rates to backhaul refined payload on the
returning tourist rockets to Earth.
When would the price become affordable for regular people?
Probably after the third tube is discovered. I could see an ISP member like UAE
opening a large lava tube exclusively as a vacation resort. By this point, the
price could get almost reasonable.
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